Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000585 0.000667 0.000754 0.000852 0.000961 0.001077 0.001210
2025-11-02 0.000461 0.000574 0.000703 0.000858 0.001040 0.001246 0.001494
2025-11-09 0.000390 0.000517 0.000668 0.000859 0.001091 0.001362 0.001699
2025-11-16 0.000324 0.000455 0.000618 0.000831 0.001100 0.001423 0.001839
2025-11-23 0.000275 0.000407 0.000578 0.000810 0.001110 0.001482 0.001971
2025-11-30 0.000242 0.000376 0.000555 0.000806 0.001140 0.001563 0.002130
2025-12-07 0.000215 0.000350 0.000537 0.000805 0.001171 0.001644 0.002290
2025-12-14 0.000190 0.000324 0.000514 0.000795 0.001188 0.001706 0.002425
2025-12-21 0.000167 0.000298 0.000490 0.000782 0.001198 0.001757 0.002546
2025-12-28 0.000157 0.000290 0.000491 0.000803 0.001256 0.001874 0.002757
2026-01-04 0.000145 0.000279 0.000487 0.000815 0.001302 0.001973 0.002946
2026-01-11 0.000131 0.000262 0.000471 0.000808 0.001318 0.002033 0.003081
2026-01-18 0.000117 0.000244 0.000453 0.000798 0.001330 0.002086 0.003210
2026-01-25 0.000107 0.000234 0.000446 0.000805 0.001366 0.002176 0.003393
2026-02-01 0.000098 0.000222 0.000436 0.000805 0.001392 0.002251 0.003555
2026-02-08 0.000085 0.000202 0.000411 0.000779 0.001376 0.002263 0.003626
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000185 0.000390 0.000759 0.001368 0.002285 0.003713
2026-02-22 0.000067 0.000175 0.000379 0.000755 0.001385 0.002346 0.003856
2026-03-01 0.000061 0.000166 0.000371 0.000754 0.001406 0.002412 0.004009
2026-03-08 0.000055 0.000156 0.000358 0.000745 0.001414 0.002457 0.004129
2026-03-15 0.000049 0.000145 0.000344 0.000732 0.001414 0.002491 0.004234
2026-03-22 0.000047 0.000144 0.000348 0.000753 0.001470 0.002613 0.004475
2026-03-29 0.000044 0.000141 0.000347 0.000764 0.001512 0.002714 0.004685